Philadelphia is a .500 road team with a weak offense – No. 21 in baseball in runs scored and No. 20 in on-base percentage, despite playing half their games in a hitter-friendly park. Ace Cole Hamels goes here, but the Phillies are 2-5 in Hamels' last seven starts vs. the National League East, as well as 2-7 in Hamels' last nine starts against a team with a winning record. The Phillies are 3-9 in their last 12 road games vs. a left-handed starter and face Atlanta lefty Paul Maholm (11-9, 3.44 ERA), who has a 3.05 ERA his last three starts, fanning 18 in 20 innings with only five walks. He's 4-2 in his career against the Phillies, including a win this season with a 1.42 ERA allowing one run in 6+ innings. Atlanta is thick in a pennant race with a balanced offense that is No. 10 in runs scored, No. 11 in on-base percentage. The Braves are 12-5 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing record and the Phillies are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings with Atlanta. Play the Braves.
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