Last place Philadelphia squeezed out a 2-1 win yesterday, but they won't win here. This Philly offense is terrible, 25th in baseball in runs scored, 27th in batting average and on base percentage, plus 29th in slugging. Starter Kyle Kendrick has allowed 14 earned runs on 22 hits in 18 1/3 innings. The Phillies are 7-15 in Kendrick's last 22 starts as an underdog. Meanwhile, Atlanta is 12-4 as chalk and 12-4 against a righty starter. Atlanta has talented righty Alex Wood (3.36 ERA) throwing, with a 2.68 ERA at home. He will have no trouble shutting down the Phillies, and the UNDER is 13-5-1 when Wood pitches. He also has a 1.13 ERA against the Phillies this season. Atlanta doesn't have a powerhouse offense either, 28th in runs scored and 23rd in on base percentage. The UNDER is 29-14-2 when the Braves are at home against a team with a losing road record, plus 37-18-2 UNDER the total following a loss. Sunday get-away day games can be fast moving, and the UNDER is 5-1-1 in Kendrick's last seven Sunday starts while the UNDER is 17-8-2 in the Braves last 27 Sunday games. In addition, umpire Gerry Woods is on a 16-6-2 run UNDER the total behind the plate. Play the Atlanta Braves and the Phillies/Braves UNDER the Total.
This pick was released to clients on July 20, 2014 at 9:34AM ET.
MLB
Philadelphia at Atlanta
July 20, 2014
1:35 PM Eastern
1 unit on Atlanta -181 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.55)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 7.5 -125 (risk 1.5 to return 2.7)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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