Philadelphia at Atlanta

Atlanta is very strong at home while Philadelphia is a ghastly 9-31 on the road. The Phillies have lost six in a row and the offense is terrible, 26th in baseball in on base percentage and 27th in runs scored. The Phillies have scored three runs or less in 11 of Cole Hamels’ 16 starts, and the team is 12-39 as a road underdog. Atlanta is playing well overall and are very good at home. The Braves come off a 9-5 victory and have won four in a row to remain five games behind Washington in the National League East. The Braves’ bullpen has posted a 2.25 ERA through four games this month. The Phillies are 13-38 on the road against a right-handed starter and face a dynamite righty in Shelby Miller (2.20). The Braves are 6-2 when Miller faces the NL East, and the team is 11-2 against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Philadelphia is also 0-4 against Atlanta, so jump on the surging home team. Play Atlanta.