Oakland at Boston

The Oakland A's are playing what could be their best baseball of the season. They did get embarrassed by the Yankees in their series finale allowing 22 runs, but still managed to win their first series in the Bronx since 2007. They now are in Boston, where they laid one on the Sox last night by a 15-5 score. The A's may be 25-41 on the road this season, but over their last nine vs. winning teams they are 7-2. Guillermo Moscoso has pitched as good as Jon Lester with an ERA of 3.28 which is quite comparable to that of Lester's 3.16 ERA for the season. Moscoso doesn't carry the same clout as Lester but he has matched him pitch for pitch, indicating a tight and low-scoring game. Couple that with the A's playing their best road baseball of the season and they are truly under-valued here. The Red Sox have played six straight UNDER as a chalk of -201 or higher, and behind Lester they are 37-18-4 if they allowed 5+ runs in their previous game, and have now gone 11 straight without going over the total when Lester pitches on grass. Take Oakland and play on the UNDER in game one.