New York at Toronto

New York plays its fourth consecutive road contest, off an 8-7 loss at Cleveland as a favorite. The offense struggled last year and is currently 14th in runs scored, steals, and slugging. No. 5 starter Luis Gil has walked 7 batters in nine innings. He missed the 2023 campaign and has been rehabbing for almost two years after Tommy John surgery. The Yankees are 9-18 after allowing 8 or more runs, plus 68-75 after two or more straight road games. Meanwhile, Toronto plays its seventh straight home game. Chris Bassitt has made one start at home, his last one, and was terrific (one run in 6+ innings) in a 5-3 victory over Seattle. He won 16 games last year and has ERAs of 2.29, 3.15, 3.42, and 3.60 in the last four seasons. MLB road teams like the Yankees that strand 7.5+ runners on base per game are 13-32 after allowing eight or more runs, so back home field. Play Toronto.