This pick was released to clients on April 29, 2023 at 6:58AM ET.
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New York at Texas

April 29, 2023
img7:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

New York's bullpen is tops in the majors with a 2.40 ERA and starter Jhony Brito is holding batters to a .214 average on the road. The Yankees are 28-15 on the road against teams that average 1.25 or more homers, plus 51-23 versus a starter with a WHIP higher than 1.30. Texas unloaded a Brinks truck to sign Nathan Eovaldi (5.20 ERA) but he hasn't been worth it. This is a small park, tough to pitch in, and Eovaldi has an 8.10 ERA at home where visiting batters are hitting .356 off him. He had a 10-1 loss in his last home start to Kansas City as -167 chalk. The Rangers are 86-142 against righty starters, 10-27 versus the AL East, and 13-18 as a home favorite of -125 to -175. New York has won 11 of the last 15 meetings, including 6-2 in this park, so back the visitors to win the game or lose by one run. Play New York on the Run-Line.

1 unit on New York +1.5 runs -145 (runline) (risk 1 to return 1.69)
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