New York at Tampa Bay

New York is 6-1 when Clarke Schmidt (3.50 ERA) takes the mound and he has a 2.81 ERA on the road. The Yankees offense is sixth in runs scored, second in on-base percentage, eighth in slugging, while the pitching is second in ERA (2.99) and No. 1 in the pen (2.25 ERA). New York is 20-8 against righty starters. Tampa Bay's offense is 19th in runs scored, 14th in on-base percentage, and 22nd in slugging, while the pitching is 23rd in ERA (4.41) and 27th in the pen (4.80 ERA). Taj Bradley comes up from Triple-A Durham and had a 5.59 ERA in 2023. With the Rays 34-44 versus a starting pitcher who strikes out five or more batters per start, back the visitors. Play New York.