New York at Tampa Bay

New York bats have come alive having scored 21 runs in their last two games and 40 over their last five. Unlike last season when Tampa Bay had New York's number, this season the Yankees have won four of five in this matchup. And, even last year the Yankees scored runs against Tampa Bay (scored 17+ runs three times). New York's starter, Jaret Wright, is hot (3.55 ERA over his last three starts) while Tampa's starter Jae Seo is not (9.25 ERA over his last three). Wright is 12-2 the past three seasons on the road vs. teams that are outscored by 1/2 a run or more per game (Tampa is outscored by 0.8 per game on average). New York scores 5.8 per game on the road while Tampa scores 4.5 per game at home. The D-Rays bullpen is awful (6.38 home ERA) so this could get ugly for Tampa Bay. This is a momentum play as favorites of up to -150 that score 5.2+ runs/game after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more are 140-66 (68%) over the past ten years. Yankees here.