New York at Philadelphia

The Yankees struggles in the postseason were all about the lack of pitching at the top of the rotation, so they went out and signed CC Sabathia and AJ Burnett in the off season. The dividends of that acquisition have paid handsomely as they are one game from their first World Series title in nine years. The Yankees have recorded 10 post-season wins and the difference is Sabathia and Burnett who started in seven of those wins. I give lots of respect to Cliff Lee as he has been huge, but the Yankees have a pitcher in Burnett who has the stuff to match him pitch for pitch as the Phillies lineup went 6-31 for an average of .194 against Burnett already in this series. The Yankees will be ready if needed, with the off day tomorrow, to send in Mariano Rivera to get six or even as many as seven outs to close. That is where the Yankees have it on the Phillies as we saw Brad Lidge implode in this series as he has so many times this year. The Yankees are now 38-15 vs. a left-hand starter and have won seven straight in NL ball parks, which includes four straight in Philly with last night's win. The Phillies have just a .541 winning percentage off a loss this year - a situation where they have been their most vulnerable. The Yanks are .655 off a win. While the price on the Yanks has been stiff the past couple of games, I like the + odds on New York to close it out tonight.