New York at New York

The Subway Series kicks off at Shea and Randy Johnson has to be a little nervous. He's having a horrible year so far (5.13 ERA) and he's looking like he's 42 years old. He's also had a rough time with the Mets lately. The Mets are 4-2 vs. the Yankees here over the past three seasons and they want this game as they try to establish more of an equal-footing presence with the Yankees in the Big Apple. Road teams scoring 5.2+ runs/game vs. a home team that scores 4.8+ runs/game are just 15-43 (26%) over the last 5 seasons. Mets at home against a struggling pitcher providing good value.