New York at Los Angeles

What's with this line? The Angels are an unreal 42-17 at home this season - that's 71%! They score 6.2 runs per game here. They have beaten the yankees 21 out of 32 times over the past three seasons including six of eight this season. Over the past three seasons they are 11-4 vs. the Yankees here at home. And this line is even? Again, the Yankees are overvalued here and we find a lot of value on the other side. Sure Andy Pettitte is on the mound for New York. He's got a very good ERA but he's just 4-5 on the road. And, John Lackey is no slouch. He's got a 3.32 ERA on the season and 6-3 record at home. The Yankees are a LOSING team on the road, where their offense falls ways down. When facing very good teams on the road (those that outscore their opponents by 0.5+ runs per game), Pettite is just 6-19 the past three seasons. The Angels are 9-1 in their last ten vs. winning teams and 11-2 overall vs. teams that are 54%+ this season! Great value on the home team that rarely loses at home.