New York at Houston

New York is on a 7-4 run winning four times as a dog. They've won the first two at Houston, 6-2 and 5-4, as underdogs of +160 each time. The Yankees have the best bullpen in baseball (3.20 ERA) and starter Michael King (2.96 ERA) has a 2.09 ERA on the road this season holding batters to a .173 average. Houston is on a 2-8 run at home losing all eight as chalk. They're favored again although starter Cristian Javier (4.66 ERA) is on the mound and has a 5.79 ERA versus the Yankees in 2023. The Astros are 22-24 at home against righty starters and 3-8 at home versus teams with a bullpen ERA of 3.45 or better. Play New York.