New York at Detroit

You have to wonder about the psyche of this Yankee team right now. They led all three games vs. the Red Sox, and ended up getting swept in the series. They even had Mr. Automatic - Mariano Rivera serve up a two out, ninth inning, game-tying homer, and the pitching staff is in shambles allowing 6.5 runs a game. CC Sabathia has been anything but a top-flight pitcher. He has been hit hard and is walking way too many. That may in itself be enough reason to go with the Tigers, but there is more. The Yankees have never done well in their first game after playing the Red Sox in a series. In the last four years the Yankees, a team that has consistently won 90+ games, has gone 9-12 right after playing the Red Sox, and has allowed six runs or more in 14 of the 21 games. This is more of a fade on the Yankees, than a play on Detroit, but the value is certainly evident and I'm going Tigers here.