New York at Boston

The line here is telling us that the oddsmakers expect Boston to let up, while the Yankees are in a race with Oakland to host the Wild Card game. This is the biggest rivalry in MLB, and Boston is the better team, is at home and would like nothing more than to put a hurt on the Yankees in this series and make them go to Oakland for the winner-take-all Wild Card contest. The Yankees are just 1-6 at Fenway this season  where they have lost by an average of four runs per contest, and I don't think it is going to be any easier tonight. The one Yankees win here saw them almost blow a 7-0 lead, before winning 10-7. The Yankees are under a lot of pressure, while the Red Sox are talented and free to take chances. Take the home team Boston.