New York at Boston

It's the second game of a doubleheader between these AL East rivals. Coming into the day, New York is still without star Aaron Judge on a 5-8 slide. The offense is 28th in on-base percentage and starter Luis Severino (6.48 ERA) has struggled, especially on the road with an 8.78 ERA. New York is 36-45 against a starter who strikes out 5 or more batters per start. Boston's offense is one of the best, seventh in runs scored and slugging, plus fourth in on-base percentage. The Red Sox play their sixth consecutive game at Fenway Park. Starter Brayan Bello (3.78 ERA) has a 2.57 ERA versus the Yankees this season after allowing 3 hits in 7 innings in his last start, a 3-2 Boston win at Yankee Stadium. The Red Sox are 20-10 after two or more straight home games, 21-11 versus AL teams with a batting average of .260 or less, plus 18-11 against AL foes with an on-base percentage of .330 or worse. Play Boston.