New York at Baltimore

New York has won the first two of this series, though they're still on a money-burning 8-17 run, losing 17 times as a favorite. Carlos Rodon (4.63 ERA) has a 5.03 ERA away from Yankee Stadium this season. The Yankees have lost his last five starts. New York is on a 5-3-1 run UNDER the total with a bullpen that is eighth in ERA (3.49) and ninth in WHIP. First-place Baltimore's offense is fifth in runs scored and No. 1 in slugging. Starter Dean Kremer is holding batters to a .212 average and the bullpen is sixth in WHIP. The Orioles are 13-3 when Kremer starts at home versus winning teams. They're also on an 11-9 run UNDER the total, including 4-1 UNDER at home, so back home field in a defensive game. Play Baltimore + UNDER the total.