New York at Baltimore

Baltimore has somehow taken two of the first three games vs. the Yankees in this series. The Orioles are also 5-4 this season vs. New York, but that can't continue. C'mon - the Orioles are just 26-66 on the season. The Yankees can't take the O's lightly as New York is battling Boston for first place in the AL East. The Red Sox have a 3.5-game lead as it stands. The Yanks are 26-18 on the road this season, outscoring opponents by a full run per game on average. Sonny Gray hasn't been good this season, but Baltimore bats are very weak (3.6 runs per game) and the Yankees bullpen is stellar. The NY pen has posted a 2.43 road ERA this season. This season, the Orioles are just 12-38 vs. winning teams. Meanwhile, New York is 17-5 as a favorite in this range (-100 to -150). Take the Yankees.