New York at Washington

It certainly has been a trying year for both of these teams. The Nationals’ struggles were expected. The Mets were not. The Mets have been plagued by injuries, but overall have just seemed to be a group of underachievers. That said, how can a team that had such great expectations and underachieved anyway, finish up meaningless games on the road? The answer is not very well! The Mets are just 8-19 on the road in their last 27 games, and they have packed it in. The Nats aren't a pretty team and are often overmatched, but there has been a silver lining for this team. They haven't had a lot of chances at home against teams with losing records - just 18 since June 11. The good news is that they are 12-6 in these 18 games. The Mets as an underdog in their last 64 games, are just 21-43, and are now also 0-5 in Pelfrey's last five starts against a team with a losing record. The Nats actually have a better home record than the Mets record on the road, so I'm backing Washington here.