New York at Washington

A pair of weak offensive teams play in Washington, a huge park, which is great for pitchers. New York is #25 in baseball in runs scored, #27 in on-base percentage, #25 in slugging. Starter Steven Matz is having a fine season with batters hitting .237 off him. On the road he has a 3.27 ERA, with the UNDER 11-5-1 when he starts away from home. He has also done well against Washington this season, with a 3.52 ERA in 15 innings, allowing 14 hits, 5 walks and 18 Ks. The UNDER is 17-8-1 when the Mets face the NL East and they take on a Washington offense that is #19 in on-base percentage. Nationals starter Tanner Roark is off a terrific outing, allowing three hits and one walk over eight scoreless innings in a win over the Brewers striking out 11. The UNDER is 21-9-1 when Roark starts on natural grass and this total is too high. Play the UNDER.