New York at Washington

New York is #18 in baseball in runs scored and heads to Washington, a big ballpark. Outfielder Yoenis Cespedes just decided to opt-out of the rest of the season, leaving the Mets without one of their best power hitters. Steve Matz (3.18 ERA) is off to a strong start with 10 Ks in 11+ innings. Washington is #26 in runs scored and #19 in on-base percentage. Lefty Patrick Corbin (1.42 ERA) comes off a strong performance in a 3-2 loss to the Yankees. Washington is 23-12 UNDER the total versus teams with a winning percentage below 38%, and this total is too high. Play UNDER the total.