New York at Toronto

The Mets have cooled down, losing four of five games, while Toronto has heated up winning four in a row. The Mets have lost by a combined 16-5 the last two nights in this park and are 1-6 vs. the American League East. The Mets are 1-4 in their last five road games and don't do well in get-away-day games as they are 5-11 in their last 16 Sunday games. Starter Dillon Gee is no stopper with a 5.65 ERA this season and a losing record. He's getting worse with a 6.88 ERA his last three starts. The Blue Jays are 35-16 in their last 51 games as a home favorite of -150 to -200 and 40-19 in their last 59 games as a favorite of -150 to -200. Play the Blue Jays. In addition, look for fewer runs than oddsmakers anticipate. New York's offense is 16th in runs scored, 23rd in slugging and has scored only two runs in this series. They face Toronto starter Henderson Alvarez who has quietly been terrific with a 2.62 ERA and only 13 walks in 55 innings. He's been on a tear with a 2-1 record his last three starts and a 1.19 ERA! The UNDER is 5-1 in the Mets last six interleague games against a team with a winning record and 5-1 UNDER the total in their last six interleague games. Alvarez is a ground ball pitcher and the team is 8-1 UNDER the total in his last nine starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Blue Jays are  5-1-1 UNDER the total in their last seven vs. a team with a winning record. Play the Blue Jays and the UNDER in this one.