New York at Pittsburgh

The Mets are sitting Matt Harvey - trading off wins that count for a chance to have him start in the All-Star game. In his place, Carlos Torres makes his first start in three years. What makes matters worse for New York here is that they must face AJ Burnett who has pitched to a 3.05 ERA overall (2.73 ERA at home). The Pirates have gone 31-17 at home this season despite not much offense because their pitching and defense have been off the charts. The Pirates have allowed just 3.0 runs per game at home this season. Over their last seven games, they have given up just 2.3 per contest. This season, the Mets are 17-31 vs. good defensive teams (those that allow 4.3 or fewer runs per game). Pittsburgh is 30-9 vs. bad teams (those under .470). Go with Pitt in this one.