New York at Philadelphia

Cliff Lee is a great pitcher. But so far this season, Chris Young is out-pitching him. Young has gone three games with a 2.65 ERA compared to Lee's 4.18 ERA in five games. Lee is just 2-2 on the season. On top of that, the Mets have hammered LHP this season to the tune of a 5.6 runs per game and a 5-2 record. Philly has gone just 5-8 this season at home to the runline. New York should at least keep this game close. I also like the UNDER here. Chris Young has allowed just 5 earned runs on 10 hits in 17 innings of play this season. Cliff Lee has struck out 39 in 32.3 innings. Over his last three starts, Lee has struck out 25 in 22 innings. Over the past two seasons, the Phillies are 35-16 UNDER vs. NL teams batting .250 or worse. They are also 21-8 UNDER over that span to a total of 7 or less. Take New York +1.5 runs and the UNDER here.