New York at Milwaukee

Milwaukee is 22-8 at home which is why the public is lining up on them here to the tune of over 80%. When things look to obvious in sports betting, they probably are. Yovani Gllardo has been very good this season, but he's facing a hot pitcher in Jon Niese who has posted a 1.89 ERA over his last three starts. During that time, he has struck-out 18 while allowing just 4 earned runs. Niese is a southpaw that could really give the Mets’ lineup trouble. New York is averaging only 3.7 runs per game this season vs. LHP, going 6-7 in the process. While this one seems like an easy call on the Brewers, it’s exactly why I'm going the other way. Take the Mets.