New York at Miami

The Marlins were expected to be awful this season but they are threatening a playoff run right now. They have won three in a row, eight of eleven and 17 of their last 22 while the Mets have lost three of four. The Marlins face Oliver Perez who has a 6.58 ERA and 3-11 record. On the road he's 0-6 with a 10.58 ERA. Why is this guy still pitching? Countering for Florida is Josh Johnson (11-5 with 3.14 ERA). Johnson is 2-0 against the Mets, having given up 0 runs in 12 innings. We get a hot home team vs. a cold one with a huge pitching mismatch for just -120. Take the Marlins.