New York at Miami

The Mets took a chance on Carlos Carrasco, who had put together four straight strong seasons before injuring his arm. He has not been the same pitcher since battling injuries along the way. Carrasco is just 11-15 in the last two seasons, plus his lone start this season resulted in a 6-2 loss. The Marlins aren't going to impress anyone with their 46-61 record, but the young rebuilding team is a lot more comfortable playing at home where they are 26-26. They have taken the first two in this series, and I think they have the better pitcher going as Carrasco has been below average for the last three years. Make the play on Miami.