New York at Miami

Ricky Nolasco has pitched very well in his last three outings against the Phillies, Pirates and Nationals. But those aren't exactly hitting forces. The game prior he was shelled by these Mets when he gave up nine runs in less than two innings of action. Unlike his more recent opponents, the Mets can hit as they put up 5.9 per game on the road and over their past seven games they've averaged 6.6 per contest. What will break here? Will the Mets offense slow or will Nolasco get hit? Consider that road underdogs of up to +150 that are hot offensively (batting .333 or better over their last 3 games) vs. a starting pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 25-11 (69%) since 1997. I'm betting on the offense of the Mets here.