New York at Cincinnati

Cincinnati plays its third straight home game, part of a seven-game home stand, while the New York Mets wrap up a six-game road trip here. The fourth place Mets have little offense, 29th in batting and slugging, 24th in on base percentage, and 22nd in runs. Zach Wheeler goes for them and is off a bad game at Miami, allowing five runs over 4 2/3 innings, and the team is 0-2 his last two starts (eight runs, 11+ innings). The Mets are 6-13 in Wheeler's last 19 starts as an underdog. The Mets are also 16-36 against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and face Mat Latos (3.46 ERA) with opponents hitting .238 off him. He is 3-1 at home and Latos has a 2.89 ERA in seven career starts against the Mets, yielding one run over 14 innings in Cincinnati. In fact, the Reds are 28-10 in Latos' last 38 home starts, 25-9 when Latos is a home favorite. Play the Reds.