New York at Cincinnati

The Mets have won the first two here, and will go for the sweep this afternoon behind Oliver Perez. Perez is a high-risk pitcher, as he walked four or more batters in one-third of his starts last year. He is also coming off of a spring where he walked 14 in just 16 innings and lasted just 37 pitches in his last outing. Bronson Arroyo made 18 home starts last season with the Reds coming away with the win in 11 of them. He controlled this Mets’ lineup last year, throwing eight innings in two different games - allowing just four hits in each. This is a good spot for the Reds to salvage game three, and I'll back them in this one.