New York at Chicago

The New York Mets have been better than advertised, and right now the pitching is as good as it has been all season as they have held 10 of their last 13 opponents to three runs or less. The Cubs offense has sputtered a good deal of the season, and in their last six games, they have been shutout in three of them. One of the aspects of offense at Wrigley Field are the short dimensions, and HR's can change the scoreboard quickly. Edwin Jackson has pitched 31.1 innings here without serving up a long ball. The Mets are 13-2-2 to the UNDER in their last 17 games vs. a team below .400, as well as 40-19-3 to the UNDER in their last 62 vs. the NL Central, which includes 6-2-1 to the UNDER in their last nine vs. Chicago. The Cubs own a 9-2-1 mark to the UNDER in Jackson's last 12 home starts. Make the play on the UNDER in this one.