New York at Arizona

While it is difficult playing against Jacob deGrom, the Mets have just been so bad in his starts from an offensive support standpoint, so many good outings end up in the loss column. The Mets are just 70-67 in deGrom's last 137 starts despite the fact the opponents have averaged exactly three runs in those 137 starts. The marks are high, but deGrom still is over-valued because he has been so good, and the Met's offense has been equally bad. The last time deGrom started here the Diamondbacks produced six runs against him. Going to have to play history here which says the dog line is too high. Make the play on Arizona.