Minnesota at Toronto

Anytime you get a team with a poor road pedigree and playing against a team that has been seven games over .500 at home, and they are favored, you have to look for reasons to play against them. There is one huge answer and reason to opt for Toronto in a live home dog spot here. The Twins have been a poor road team for years, but they are at their worst when they have to lace them up against a lefthander on the road. The Twins have been a dreadful 14-39 in their last 53 road games vs. a lefthander, that is a winning percentage of 26.4%, so the billing as the chalk in this one isn't justifiable.They are also just 16-35 against the AL East, and that includes 1-5 in Baker's last six starts against them. Then when you consider the Blue Jays have had the Twins' number for a long time now, as the Twins are just 8-20 in the last 28 meetings, and an even worse 2-8 in their last 10 played in Toronto. I'm going with the Blue Jays here.