Minnesota at Toronto

Glen Perkins owns an awesome 12-3 record but his ERA isn't what you might expect with that kind of record (it is 4.00). The fact is, he's pitching has been average but he's been getting lots of run support. The Blue Jays are not a high scoring team by any means, but they can certainly score a few against Perkins at home. Backing up Perkins is a bullpen with a 5.68 road ERA. David Purcey has a 5.53 ERA and he'll be facing a Minnesota team that averages 5.4 runs per game vs. left handed pitchers. This season the Twins are 39-27 OVER on the road including 31-19 OVER to a total of 8.5 to 10. Perkins is 88-1 OVER as a favorite this season. We'll back the OVER here.