Minnesota at Toronto

Minnesota ran into a buzz saw in Detroit in their series before the Angels. But, they took two of three from LA and swept Oakland prior to facing the Tigers. Overall, they have gone 22-16 over the past month and 8-5 over the past two weeks. Toronto has lost 12 of their last 21. They aren't looking forward to facing the AL's best starter tonight. Johan Santan is 7-2 on the road with 1.85 ERA! He's only suffered one loss overall since June 10th. He's 5-1 with a 1.62 ERA in his last seven starts. Facing him is Shaun Marcum who's had a good year but has been blasted of late. He's got an 8.22 ERA over his last three starts, averaging just 5.1 innings per go. The Twins are a .500 ballclub on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game (over half a run more than they get at home).  Toronto scores just 4.5 per game at home and they've averaged only 3.0 per game over their last seven. Back to the reason for this pick: Santana. Over the past two seasons, the Twins are a perfect 18-0 with him starting vs. an AL opponent scoring lest than 4.7 runs per game! Take him and the Twinkies at this low price.