The Twins won a rare game here in Toronto yesterday. The win was their first in seven games and just their fourth in their last 20 trips to Toronto. Don't count on them getting another one here. The Twins are getting only 3.7 runs per game on the road this season, while the Blue Jays average nearly five per game here at home. The Twins struggle vs. power teams. Toronto averages 1.3 home runs per game, and Minnesota is just 5-22 the past couple of seasons vs. teams that average 1.25+ HRs per game. The Jays are 35-19 the past three seasons revenging a home favorite loss. Take Toronto to exact their revenge here and win this series. Also take the UNDER. Minnesota's offense really struggles on the road where they hit just .229 and average only 3.7 runs per game. Both of these pitchers, if not great, are decent. And, both bullpens are very good with Minnesota's posting a 2.75 road ERA and Toronto has a 3.35 home ERA. When facing a bullpen with an ERA of 3.33 or lower this season, the Blue Jays are 19-8 to the UNDER. As an underdog of +150 or more, Minnesota is 16-6 UNDER this season. Back Toronto and the UNDER here.
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