Minnesota at Tampa Bay

Who's pitching worse? Carlos Silva has a 6.83 ERA and 8-13 record. Jason Hammel has a 6.86 ERA and 0-2 record. No wonder this total is set at 10 runs. While the starting matchup is an ugly one without a real edge, Minnesota has a very good bullpen (3.65 road ERA) while Tampa Bay does not (5.87 home ERA). And Minnesota scores more - 4.6 per game on the road and 5.0 vs. right handed starters vs. 4.5 at home for Tampa and a lowly 4.0 vs. righties while Minny is 54-32 vs righties. Tampa is just 39-61 vs. right handers this season. Home underdogs off a game where they had 4 or less hits and their bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more runs are just 8-44 (15%) over the past decade. Better team in good situation for low price here.