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Minnesota at St. Louis

June 27, 2009
img1:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Minnesota Twins will go with Kevin Slowey this afternoon against the Cardinals’ Todd Wellemeyer. Solwey has a deck full of aces so far as he is 10-2 on the season despite an average ERA of 4.04. It is because the Twins have scored 5+ runs in 70% of his starts, which is considerably above what this team has done on the season. Slowey has not been good on the road, where despite the run support, the Twins are 1-3 in his last four road starts - pitching to a 5.06 ERA. The Twins have struggled to a 14-22 mark on the road this season, and when favored, are just 2-9. The Cards have struck big in interleague play against right-hand pitching where they stand 37-15 over their last 52 in this situation. Getting a run and a half against a team that has struggled on the road and a pitcher with misleading numbers, against a team cashing big in this spot has a ton of value. That puts me on the runline with the Cards.

4 units on St. Louis +1.5 runs -155 (runline) (risk 4 to return 4)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
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Minnesota Twins
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