Minnesota at Seattle

Safeco in Seattle is a big park, pitcher-friendly, and the UNDER is 35-16-4 in the Mariners’ last 55 games as a home favorite. It helps to throw strikes in a big park like this and both pitchers in this game do. Nick Blackburn of the Twins has walked 5 in 20 innings and has a 2.91 ERA against Seattle, walking just 8 in 46 innings. Blackburn is on a 6-1-1 run UNDER the total and the UNDER is 24-10-2 in his last 36 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. He faces a light-hitting Seattle team, one ranked No. 24 in batting average and No. 28 in on-base percentage. The UNDER is 17-8-1 in Mariners’ last 26 home games. Hector Noesi goes for Seattle with 10 walks in 23 innings and the Twins haven't seen him this season and only once in relief for one inning overall. The UNDER is 35-17-4 in the Mariners’ last 56 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. When these teams meet the UNDER is 15-7-2 in the last 24 meetings, including 9-4-1 UNDER the total in the last 14 meetings in Seattle. Play the UNDER.