Minnesota at Seattle

The Mariners face yet another sweep and I think the Twins get it here. Carl Pavano is 15-9 with a 3.56 ERA. He's actually pitched better on the road this season than at home. Luke French hasn't been horrible, but he of course gets no run support so his record stands at 2-4. When this game goes to the pen, the Twins enjoy a sizable advantage there as well. The M's average only 3.2 runs per game here at home and it's getting worse. Over the past seven games, this team has scored only 2.6 runs per game. On the season, they are 12-27 in day games, batting just .224 and scoring only 2.8 runs per game. So, the bar is low for the Twins. When facing a good defensive team like the Twins, the Mariners really struggle, going 23-44 this season vs. AL teams that allow under 4.8 runs per game. In the favorite role, the Twins have delivered. They are 55-26 as a favorite including 36-13 as a favorite of -125 to -175 and 19-7 as road chalk. Minnesota here.