Minnesota at New York

Everyone, including the oddsmakers, is playing the "fatigue" angle here on the Twins. Let's be real, these are kids in their 20s and 30s and trust me, they won't be tired. They will be juiced to be at The Stadium with a chance to knock off the Yankees, and they have been a red-hot confident team. Sabathia is not a layup by any means. His post-season pedigree is shaded with question marks. He has pitched in each of the last two post-seasons to a 9.47 ERA, covering 19 innings. The Twins may not be the better team here, but they are by no means over a 3-1 underdog in a playoffs game - severe overlay to the Yankees. I'm going with Minnesota here.