Minnesota at New York

The Yankees can score. In their last ten games, they have put up 7+ in six of the games. But, they can also produce no-shows. Over that same span, they were shut-out twice. Today they face Nick Blackburn who has been solid this year and has posted a 3.54 ERA over his last three starts. Since last season, Blackburn is 15-5 UNDER on the road. Sergio Mitre goes for New York and he has also been solid in his six starts, posting a 3.86 ERA. Minnesota's bats have been cold, averaging just 3.6 runs per game over their past seven. On the season, they average only 3.9 per game in day-games. When facing big power teams like the Yanks (teams averaging 1.25+ HRs per game), the Twins are 21-9 UNDER the past two seasons. As a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range at home, New York is 27-11 UNDER the past two seasons. I like this game to go UNDER.