Minnesota at Kansas City

The Kansas City Royals lost 97 games a year ago, and the Twins 84. They each have a long way to go to be competitive. The Twins will start future Hall of Famer Zack Greinke. Anytime you can get Greinke pitching at home is a worthy wager. Greinke for his career has led his team to a 177-96 at home with a +8.8% ROI, and just 121-141 on the road with a -9.6% ROI. This is a huge difference and hidden advantage in this game. There is another factor at work here as well. The opening day provides a lot of energy in the ballpark and home favorites are 116-60 with a +8.8% ROI on opening day. I see a lot of value on the Twins in this one, and I will make the play on Minnesota.