Minnesota at Detroit

The Twins are third in the majors in pitching ERA (3.67) and seventh in the bullpen (3.67). Minnesota is 69-51 UNDER the total against losing teams, including 16-6-4 UNDER on the road. It's the offense that is struggling, 18th in runs scored, 23rd in on-base percentage, and 16th in slugging. Bailey Ober is on the mound with a 1.96 ERA on the road and the Twins are 15-7 UNDER in Sunday get-away games. Minnesota is in the role of favorite but is on a 4-6 run losing all six as a favorite and one of the wins by just one run. Detroit's bullpen is also very good, ninth in the majors in ERA (3.74), though the offense is 29th in runs scored and slugging, plus 27th in on-base percentage. The Tigers are 20-6 UNDER the total at home versus AL starting pitchers with an ERA of 3.40 or better, plus 30-16 UNDER against AL starters with a WHIP of 1.200 or better. And when these division rivals clash, the UNDER is on an 8-3-1 run. Detroit is in a good situational spot playing its sixth consecutive home game. The bullpen is keeping the Tigers in games, on a 6-3 run including a pair of 1-0 and 2-0 losses. Back the home team to win or lose by one run in a defensive duel. Take Detroit on the Run-Line as a Max Play + UNDER the total.