Minnesota at Detroit

Detroit is on fire at home, owning a 17-2 mark in their last 19 played in their own backyard. They now stand at 32-12 for the season when playing at home. The Twins are really struggling right now and stand in at 5-13 over their last 18 games. The pitching staff is mired in a deep slump as they have now gone seven straight games allowing 6 runs or more, so the bullpen is depleted as well. Carl Pavano is already approaching more innings than he has thrown since 2004, and I look for him to hit the wall. The Twins are struggling on the road vs. left-hand pitching at 15-38 in their last 53, while the Tigers are 10-1 in their last 11 at home vs. a righthander. Detroit gets this one.