Minnesota at Chicago

The Twins have lost the first two of this series scoring a total of six runs. Minnesota's offense has slipped to 22nd in on-base percentage and 14th in slugging. They do have a terrific arm on the mound in Pablo Lopez, with a 46-to-9 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 36 innings. He has a 1.47 ERA on the road holding the home teams to a .188 average. He faced the White Sox last month and fanned 10 in seven innings with one walk in a 4-3 win. Minnesota is 18-8-4 UNDER the total in AL Central Division play. Chicago's offense is just 22nd in runs scored and slugging, plus 26th in on-base percentage. Starter Lucas Giolito has a 1.42 ERA at home holding batters to a .178 average. His last four starts have all gone UNDER in games of 3-2, 4-1, 3-0, and 3-1. With Minnesota 58-42 UNDER as a favorite of -110 or higher, this shapes up as another defensive duel. Play Minnesota/Chicago UNDER the total.