Minnesota at Boston

The Diceman goes for Boston here and he has been un-hittable of late. In his last three starts, he has given up just one earned run and posted a 0.47 ERA. Contrast that to Carl Pavano who has posted an 8.47 ERA in his last three starts. Boston has struggled this season offensively, but they are still much better than Minnesota. The Twins are getting only 3.2 runs per game (3.0 on the road). I just don't see Minnesota managing many runs here at all. I like Boston to win this by 2+ runs. I also like the UNDER. The Red Sox are averaging only 4.1 runs per game while Minnesota is getting just over 3 per game. When facing a losing team this season, the Twins are 13-3 to the UNDER. They are 14-5 UNDER vs. AL teams hitting .260 or worse. As a road dog, the Twins are 62-40 UNDER the past three seasons. Take the Red Sox on the runline and the UNDER.