Milwaukee at Washington

Milwaukee was a great home team but has a losing road record and has to head out on the road for this one-game Wild Card showdown. The Brewers are 4-10 when following an off day, plus 3-8 in their last 11 playoff road games. Starter Brandon Woodruff missed nearly two months with an oblique injury and has made only two appearances since his return, both in relief. For the season he has a 4.41 ERA on the road. Meanwhile, Washington is 50-31 at home and on a 35-16 run overall. The offense is sixth in baseball in runs scored, second in on-base percentage, and seventh in slugging. The team is 12-3 when Max Scherzer takes the mound and the Nationals are 39-13 at home against teams with losing road records. The Nationals are also on a 40-17 run at home, plus 20-9 in Game 1 of a series. Play Washington to dominate at home, so take the Nationals on the runline.