Milwaukee at St. Louis

The Brewers have hit a major slump, winning just one of their last seven games. St. Louis meanwhile has caught stride having won five of their last six. Tonight they start Jaime Garcia who is 5-2 wiht a 1.32 ERA. At home he is a perfect 2-0 with a 0.72 ERA. Backing him up is a very good Cardinals bullpen (2.93 ERA). The Brewers are just 6-23 the past three seasons on the road vs. teams with a bullpen ERA under 3.40 and 2-12 this season vs. bullpens with a WHIP under 1.400. Meanwhile, St. Louis is 40-15 the past two seasons when facing bad teams that are outscored by their opponents by 0.5+ runs per game. I like the Cards here.