Milwaukee at San Francisco

Milwaukee is a long way from home, a weak road team playing its third road contest of a 10-game trip. They have lost the first two games of the trip getting outscored 14-7. Brewers' starter Jimmy Nelson has allowed eight runs his last two starts (nine innings, 15 hits, five walks). He has a winning record at home but a losing road mark with a 5.13 ERA. The Brewers are 17-50 against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, plus 17-38 versus a team with a winning record. They run into red-hot Giants' ace Johnny Cueto (9-1, 2.16 ERA), 10-3 with a 2.79 ERA in 19 career starts against the Brewers, including 7-0 with a 1.73 ERA in his last seven outings. San Francisco is on a 23-8 run with an offense that is eighth in baseball in on base percentage. The Giants are also 36-15 against a righty starter and 8-2 in this park against Milwaukee. Take San Francisco.