Milwaukee at Pittsburgh

Milwaukee is tied for the best road record in the major leagues. You need pitching and defense to play well away from home and the Brewers have both, sixth in team ERA (3.31), 14th in fielding percentage, and fifth in the bullpen (2.85 ERA). The Brewers have won all four starts made by Freddy Peralta (1.90 ERA). Milwaukee's offense is ninth in runs scored, third in on-base percentage, fourth in slugging, and third in steals. The Brewers are 48-26 as chalk of -150 or less, 39-22 versus divisional opponents, and 29-19 after playing four or more straight road contests. Pittsburgh is 27th in fielding percentage and 17th in the bullpen (4.03 ERA), while the offense is 18th in runs scored, 25th in slugging, and 24th in steals. They're on a 3-8 slide and starter Mitch Keller (4.80 ERA) has allowed 44 base runners in 30 innings. The Pirates are 15-29 after four or more consecutive home games, plus 5-17 at home after scoring four or fewer runs in four straight contests. Make it a Max Play on Milwaukee.